If you mostly use chatbots and keep worrying you're late to AI tools, use this filter: don't ask whether the first version looks finished. Ask whether it makes the next 18 months feel believable. Half-baked products sell certainty about the next 18 months. [C002]
You know the moment: you see a new AI tool, almost scroll past, then wonder if skipping it means missing the one that will matter later. The wrong question is whether version one looks complete.
The costly mistake is chasing shiny feature lists. That burns time, budget, and attention in the wrong direction. The hidden cost is worse: you stay busy around surface updates and miss the tool that actually changes your next move.
This is why the 18-month roadmap matters more than a finished-looking launch. A product update is worth your time not by how many features it lists, but by whether it changes your next move.
Half-Baked Product [C001]: early buyers were not buying a tidy first version. They were buying a believable path, with 18 to 36 months of product vision behind it. Boundary: one Steve Blank filter, not a hands-on test. Share this with the person stuck on feature lists.